Putting Up Numbers· college football

Rice @ Florida Atlantic

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Florida Atlantic 51, Rice 49Florida Atlantic was favored by 9.5, and Rice covered.

Rice at Florida Atlantic: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRice1 gameFlorida Atlantic1 game
Points+18.4+19.1
Points allowed+18.2+32.4
Total offense, yards+186+62
Total defense, yards+43+295
Touchdowns+3.0+2.0
Passer rating+99.7+33.0
Third downs−0.8%+3.9%
Sacks+0.1−1.2
Penalty yards−4.5−7.1
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida Atlantic

Rice

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic was 1.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 86th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Rice

  • Rice had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Rice was 2.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 92nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Florida Atlantic leads the series 4–3 since 2013. Florida Atlantic has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Florida Atlantic had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Florida Atlantic had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Florida Atlantic’s points allowed were 12.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.8 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Florida Atlantic’s third-down conversion rate were 18.0% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.8% under expected.
  • Rice had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Rice was 2–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Rice’s total yards were 102.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 244.0 over expected.
  • On the road, Rice’s penalty yards were 19.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 51, Rice 49
Oct 4, 2025at RiceFlorida Atlantic 27, Rice 21
Nov 25, 2023at RiceRice 24, Florida Atlantic 21
Oct 15, 2022at Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic 17, Rice 14
Nov 5, 2016at RiceFlorida Atlantic 42, Rice 25
Oct 10, 2015at Florida AtlanticRice 27, Florida Atlantic 26
Sep 28, 2013at RiceRice 18, Florida Atlantic 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.