Putting Up Numbers· college football

Pittsburgh @ Miami (FL)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Unranked at No. 1

Miami (FL) 52, Pittsburgh 23Miami (FL) was favored by 20.5, and Miami (FL) covered.

Pittsburgh at Miami (FL): against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePittsburgh1 gameMiami (FL)1 game
Points+3.9+29.2
Points allowed+12.2−3.7
Total offense, yards+66+148
Total defense, yards+17+3
Touchdowns+0.6+4.1
Passer rating+23.0+70.2
Third downs−7.0%+28.8%
Sacks+1.5+0.3
Penalty yards−4.3+20.6
Turnovers forced−1.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Miami (FL)

Pittsburgh

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Miami (FL)

  • Miami (FL) had beaten 9 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
  • Miami (FL) had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Miami (FL) had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Miami (FL) had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Miami (FL) was 4.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 31st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.

Pittsburgh

  • Pittsburgh was 2.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Miami (FL) leads the series 31–12–1 since 1950. Miami (FL) has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Miami (FL) had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Miami (FL) had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Miami (FL) was 4–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Miami (FL)’s penalty yards were 30.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.0 over expected.
  • On the road, Pittsburgh’s penalty yards were 35.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 52, Pittsburgh 23
Nov 29, 2025at PittsburghMiami (FL) 38, Pittsburgh 7
Nov 26, 2022at Miami (FL)Pittsburgh 42, Miami (FL) 16
Oct 30, 2021at PittsburghMiami (FL) 38, Pittsburgh 34
Oct 17, 2020at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 31, Pittsburgh 19
Oct 26, 2019at PittsburghMiami (FL) 16, Pittsburgh 12
Nov 24, 2018at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 24, Pittsburgh 3
Nov 24, 2017at PittsburghPittsburgh 24, Miami (FL) 14
Nov 5, 2016at Miami (FL)Miami (FL) 51, Pittsburgh 28
Nov 27, 2015at PittsburghMiami (FL) 29, Pittsburgh 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next