Ole Miss @ 
Texas
Texas 34, Ole Miss 27Texas was favored by 3, and Texas covered.
| a game | Ole Miss1 game | Texas1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +8.8 | +6.5 |
| Points allowed | +4.7 | −3.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +69 | +26 |
| Total defense, yards | +57 | −38 |
| Touchdowns | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| Passer rating | −34.5 | −19.6 |
| Third downs | −2.3% | −19.3% |
| Sacks | −0.5 | −1.4 |
| Penalty yards | +1.2 | +75.7 |
| Turnovers forced | +1.8 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | +1.8 |
Who put up numbers
Texas
- Passing yardsArch Manning212 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsArch Manning1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsRaleek Brown157 rushing yards
Ole Miss
Analysis
Texas
- Texas had beaten 4 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Texas had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Texas was 2.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 93rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.
Ole Miss
- Ole Miss had won 15 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Ole Miss had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Ole Miss was 4.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 35th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Texas leads the series 7–1 since 1912. Texas has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Texas had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- Texas had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Texas was 1–5 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At night, Texas’ penalty yards were 45.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 80.1 over expected.
- In a conference game, Texas’ third-down conversion rate were 14.9% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.9% under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Texas’ rushing yards were 33.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 63.4 over expected.
- Ole Miss had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Ole Miss had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At night, Ole Miss’ carries were 6.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 under expected.
- On the road, Ole Miss’ points allowed were 10.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.4 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Texas | Texas 34, Ole Miss 27 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | at Ole Miss | Texas 66, Ole Miss 31 |
| Dec 17, 1966 | neutral | Texas 19, Ole Miss 0 |
| Jan 1, 1962 | neutral | Texas 12, Ole Miss 7 |
| Jan 1, 1958 | neutral | Ole Miss 39, Texas 7 |
| Oct 3, 1925 | at Texas | Texas 25, Ole Miss 0 |
| Nov 17, 1914 | at Texas | Texas 66, Ole Miss 7 |
| Nov 13, 1912 | neutral | Texas 53, Ole Miss 14 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.