LSU @ Auburn

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · No. 18 at unranked

LSU 38, Auburn 17LSU was favored by 7, and LSU covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Auburn was 1.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 54th of 136, and 9.4 worse at home than away over its last 25, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.0 against the line this game.

LSU had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
LSU was 5.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 23rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.0 against the line this game.

LSU leads the series 31–23–1 since 1902. LSU has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

Against a ranked opponent, Auburn’s penalty yards were 29.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 under expected.
LSU had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
LSU was 3–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
Against an unranked opponent, LSU’s carries were 9.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.2 under expected.
On the road, LSU’s pass attempts were 6.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.4 over expected.
In a conference game, LSU’s penalty yards were 19.2 under expected in 4 games. A −53.9 difference in penalty yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.