Kansas State @ 
Arizona State
Arizona State 28, Kansas State 17Kansas State was favored by 1.5, and Arizona State covered.
| a game | Kansas State1 game | Arizona State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −11.8 | +1.6 |
| Points allowed | −0.9 | −10.2 |
| Total offense, yards | −93 | −1 |
| Total defense, yards | −27 | −121 |
| Touchdowns | −1.1 | +0.8 |
| Passer rating | −22.2 | −36.1 |
| Third downs | −10.6% | −13.5% |
| Sacks | +1.5 | +1.2 |
| Penalty yards | −32.8 | −5.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Arizona State
- Passing yardsMikey Keene160 passing yards
- Rushing yardsCardae Mack159 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsCardae Mack4 rushing touchdowns
Kansas State
Analysis
Arizona State
- Arizona State was 7.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 128th of 136, and 7.5 worse at home than away over its last 25, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.
Kansas State
- Kansas State was 0.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 67th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Arizona State leads the series 7–1 since 1964. Arizona State has won the last 2. Arizona State has won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Arizona State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- In a conference game, Arizona State’s penalty yards were 18.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
- At home, Arizona State’s points allowed were 9.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.7 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Arizona State’s third-down conversion rate were 9.9% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.4% under expected.
- Kansas State had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Kansas State was 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Kansas State’s pass attempts were 15.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.3 over expected.
- In a conference game, Kansas State’s third-down conversion rate were 7.2% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.6% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 28, Kansas State 17 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | at Kansas State | Arizona State 24, Kansas State 14 |
| Dec 27, 2002 | neutral | Kansas State 34, Arizona State 27 |
| Sep 9, 1989 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 31, Kansas State 0 |
| Oct 2, 1982 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 30, Kansas State 7 |
| Sep 23, 1972 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 56, Kansas State 14 |
| Sep 26, 1970 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 35, Kansas State 13 |
| Nov 7, 1964 | at Arizona State | Arizona State 21, Kansas State 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.