Indiana @ Michigan

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · No. 6 at unranked

Indiana 13, Michigan 6Indiana was favored by 7.5, and Michigan covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Michigan was 5.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 122nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

Indiana had beaten 27 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 28.
Indiana had won 7 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
Indiana was 3.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 108th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

Michigan leads the series 62–12 since 1900. Indiana has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Michigan had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Against a ranked opponent, Michigan’s penalty yards were 24.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 42.5 under expected.
Indiana had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
Indiana had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Indiana was 1–5 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
On the road, Indiana’s penalty yards were 37.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.