Putting Up Numbers· college football

Houston @ Utah

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · No. 14 at No. 10

Utah 21, Houston 13Utah was favored by 6.5, and Utah covered.

Houston at Utah: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameHouston1 gameUtah1 game
Points−5.6−5.4
Points allowed−15.3−17.7
Total offense, yards+26+40
Total defense, yards−23−54
Touchdowns−1.1−0.4
Passer rating−2.7−21.2
Third downs+17.5%+8.8%
Sacks−0.6+1.3
Penalty yards−18.8−9.0
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Utah

Houston

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Utah

  • Utah had won 12 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 13.
  • Utah had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Utah had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
  • Utah had beaten 16 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Utah had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Utah was 6.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

Houston

  • Houston had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Houston had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Houston had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Houston was 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 25th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Utah had won 8 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Utah had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Utah was 5–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Utah’s third-down conversion rate were 13.0% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.3% over expected.
  • At night, Utah’s rushing yards were 57.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 76.0 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Utah’s penalty yards were 19.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.3 under expected.
  • Houston had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Houston had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Houston’s third-down conversion rate were 22.4% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6% over expected.
  • At night, Houston’s passing yards were 79.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.7 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Houston’s pass attempts were 3.1 over expected in 4 games. A +7.6 difference in pass attempts over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at UtahUtah 21, Houston 13
Oct 26, 2024at HoustonHouston 17, Utah 14
Sep 23, 1978at HoustonHouston 42, Utah 25
Sep 24, 1977at UtahHouston 34, Utah 16
Nov 27, 1971at HoustonHouston 42, Utah 16
Dec 3, 1966at HoustonHouston 34, Utah 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.