Hawaii @ 
Northern Illinois
Hawaii 56, Northern Illinois 21Hawaii was favored by 3, and Hawaii covered.
| a game | Hawaii1 game | Northern Illinois1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +24.6 | −8.1 |
| Points allowed | +1.0 | +40.2 |
| Total offense, yards | +100 | −132 |
| Total defense, yards | −87 | +179 |
| Touchdowns | +4.4 | −0.3 |
| Passer rating | +38.0 | −5.8 |
| Third downs | +14.4% | −25.9% |
| Sacks | −2.7 | −2.6 |
| Penalty yards | +6.4 | −3.6 |
| Turnovers forced | +3.8 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | +3.9 |
Who put up numbers
Northern Illinois
- Passing yardsTaron Dickens171 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsTaron Dickens2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsTelly Johnson Jr.63 rushing yards
Hawaii
Analysis
Northern Illinois
- Northern Illinois had lost 8 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
- Northern Illinois was 6.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 124th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−32.0 against the line this game.
Hawaii
- Hawaii had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Hawaii was 5.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 118th of 136, and 15.7 worse away than at home over its last 25, 133rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+32.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Hawaii leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Northern Illinois had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Northern Illinois was 1–5 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- At home, Northern Illinois’ pass attempts were 15.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.1 under expected.
- In a conference game, Northern Illinois’ passing yards were 52.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 52.7 under expected.
- On the road, Hawaii’s pass attempts were 10.5 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Northern Illinois | Hawaii 56, Northern Illinois 21 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.