Putting Up Numbers· college football

Eastern Michigan @ Ohio

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Ohio 24, Eastern Michigan 20Ohio was favored by 11.5, and Eastern Michigan covered.

Eastern Michigan at Ohio: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEastern Michigan1 gameOhio1 game
Points−2.6−5.8
Points allowed−5.3+0.6
Total offense, yards−66−55
Total defense, yards−10−7
Touchdowns−2.1−1.7
Passer rating−22.3+3.5
Third downs−29.1%−17.1%
Sacks−0.1+0.9
Penalty yards−21.9−34.9
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Ohio

Eastern Michigan

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Ohio

  • Ohio had won 16 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 17.
  • Ohio had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Ohio had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Ohio was 4.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 30th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Eastern Michigan

  • Eastern Michigan was 2.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Ohio leads the series 23–12–1 since 1976. Ohio has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Ohio had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Ohio was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Ohio’s pass attempts were 12.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.5 over expected.
  • At home, Ohio’s carries were 10.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.8 under expected.
  • Eastern Michigan was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 15.6% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.8% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at OhioOhio 24, Eastern Michigan 20
Oct 25, 2025at Eastern MichiganOhio 28, Eastern Michigan 21
Nov 13, 2024at OhioOhio 35, Eastern Michigan 10
Nov 9, 2021at Eastern MichiganOhio 34, Eastern Michigan 26
Sep 23, 2017at Eastern MichiganOhio 27, Eastern Michigan 20
Oct 15, 2016at OhioEastern Michigan 27, Ohio 20
Oct 19, 2013at Eastern MichiganOhio 56, Eastern Michigan 28
Nov 1, 2012at OhioOhio 45, Eastern Michigan 14
Oct 2, 2010at Eastern MichiganOhio 30, Eastern Michigan 17
Oct 13, 2007at OhioOhio 48, Eastern Michigan 42

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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