Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan

Wed, Nov 4 · Ford Field

The line has it Eastern Michigan 23, Central Michigan 22.Eastern Michigan −1, total 44.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Central Michigan8 games	Eastern Michigan9 games
	−6.3	−6.2
	+2.0	+5.8
	−85	−65
	+17	+68
	−0.7	−1.0
	−26.7	−23.5
	−4.8%	−1.8%
	0.0	−1.0
	+2.8	−14.3
	+0.2	+0.1
	−0.2	+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan is 1.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 88th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Central Michigan

Central Michigan has covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
Central Michigan is 2.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 101st of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Central Michigan leads the series 34–15–2 since 1975.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Eastern Michigan is 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Since Noah Kim’s last game, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 30.8% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Nick Devereaux, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 15.6% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At night, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate are 21.9% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Central Michigan has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Central Michigan is 3–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Vaughn Blue, Central Michigan’s rushing yards are 88.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Jayden Clerveaux, Central Michigan’s pass attempts are 8.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Angel Flores, Central Michigan’s total yards are 109.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Sep 27, 2025	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 24, Eastern Michigan 13
Oct 19, 2024	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 38, Central Michigan 34
Sep 30, 2023	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 26, Eastern Michigan 23
Nov 25, 2022	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 38, Central Michigan 19
Nov 26, 2021	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 10
Nov 27, 2020	at Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 23
Oct 5, 2019	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 42, Eastern Michigan 16
Nov 3, 2018	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 17, Central Michigan 7
Nov 8, 2017	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 42, Eastern Michigan 30
Nov 22, 2016	at Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan 26, Central Michigan 21

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.