California @ 
SMU
SMU 59, California 20SMU was favored by 18.5, and SMU covered.
| a game | California1 game | SMU1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.9 | +27.7 |
| Points allowed | +28.8 | +0.2 |
| Total offense, yards | −26 | +82 |
| Total defense, yards | +54 | −38 |
| Touchdowns | −0.7 | +4.1 |
| Passer rating | +8.1 | +54.3 |
| Third downs | −2.9% | −20.3% |
| Sacks | −0.7 | +0.9 |
| Penalty yards | +49.2 | −12.2 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.1 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
SMU
- Passing yardsKevin Jennings223 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKevin Jennings3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsKendrick Raphael104 rushing yards
California
Analysis
SMU
- SMU had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
- SMU had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- SMU was 4.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 113th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.
California
- California was 7.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 127th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.
The series
- SMU leads the series 3–1 since 1957.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- SMU had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- SMU was 1–2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, SMU’s rushing yards were 60.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 97.9 over expected.
- California had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- California was 2–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, California’s penalty yards were 54.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 43.8 over expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, California’s penalty yards were 26.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 43.8 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at SMU | SMU 59, California 20 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | at California | California 38, SMU 35 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | at SMU | SMU 38, California 6 |
| Sep 21, 1957 | at California | SMU 13, California 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.