Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron @ Kent State

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Kent State 35, Akron 20Kent State was favored by 3, and Kent State covered.

Akron at Kent State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAkron1 gameKent State1 game
Points−9.2+0.8
Points allowed+17.5+2.3
Total offense, yards+46−60
Total defense, yards+64+96
Touchdowns−1.5+1.1
Passer rating−23.7+28.4
Third downs+14.2%−3.3%
Sacks−2.0+0.5
Penalty yards+110.3−23.7
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kent State

Akron

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kent State

  • Kent State was 3.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 110th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.

Akron

  • Akron had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Akron was 5.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 121st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Akron leads the series 26–20–1 since 1972. Kent State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Kent State had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Kent State’s penalty yards were 33.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.6 under expected.
  • At home, Kent State’s points allowed were 16.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 under expected.
  • Akron was 2–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, Akron’s pass attempts were 3.2 over expected in 4 games. A +9.9 difference in pass attempts over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 14 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 5.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Kent StateKent State 35, Akron 20
Nov 11, 2025at AkronKent State 42, Akron 35
Nov 19, 2024at Kent StateAkron 38, Kent State 17
Nov 1, 2023at AkronAkron 31, Kent State 27
Oct 22, 2022at Kent StateKent State 33, Akron 27
Nov 20, 2021at AkronKent State 38, Akron 0
Nov 17, 2020at Kent StateKent State 69, Akron 35
Oct 12, 2019at AkronKent State 26, Akron 3
Oct 20, 2018at Kent StateAkron 24, Kent State 23
Nov 21, 2017at AkronAkron 24, Kent State 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.