Putting Up Numbers· college football

Army @ Tulsa

Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Army 38, Tulsa 35Army was favored by 1.5, and Army covered.

Army at Tulsa: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArmy1 gameTulsa1 game
Points+15.2+6.5
Points allowed+6.6+11.3
Total offense, yards−10−15
Total defense, yards+37+6
Touchdowns+1.1+1.3
Passer rating−6.2−3.0
Third downs−4.6%+4.5%
Sacks+0.4−0.3
Penalty yards−25.9−21.8
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.4−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Tulsa

Army

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Tulsa

  • Tulsa was 2.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 51st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

Army

  • Army was 6.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Tulsa was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Tulsa’s third-down conversion rate were 26.0% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.3% over expected.
  • At night, Tulsa’s third-down conversion rate were 16.2% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.3% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Tulsa’s points were 8.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.
  • Army had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army was 2–2–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At night, Army’s pass attempts were 8.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 under expected.
  • On the road, Army’s carries were 5.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 23, 2026at TulsaArmy 38, Tulsa 35
Nov 22, 2025at ArmyTulsa 26, Army 25
Oct 5, 2024at TulsaArmy 49, Tulsa 7
Nov 17, 2007at ArmyTulsa 49, Army 39

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 22, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.