Putting Up Numbers· college football

Air Force @ Wyoming

Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Wyoming 28, Air Force 14Air Force was favored by 7, and Wyoming covered.

Air Force at Wyoming: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAir Force1 gameWyoming1 game
Points−7.7+1.9
Points allowed+6.3−11.7
Total offense, yards+32−63
Total defense, yards−51+21
Touchdowns−1.4+1.0
Passer rating−6.9+17.5
Third downs+16.0%−5.9%
Sacks−1.0+0.6
Penalty yards+10.2−27.6
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.7
Turnovers lost+1.9−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Wyoming

Air Force

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Wyoming

  • Wyoming was 3.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 105th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+21.0 against the line this game.

Air Force

  • Air Force had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Air Force had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Air Force was 4.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 36th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−21.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Air Force leads the series 32–29–3 since 1957. Wyoming has won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Wyoming had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Wyoming was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At night, Wyoming’s carries were 18.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.
  • At home, Wyoming’s third-down conversion rate were 16.7% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9% under expected.
  • In a conference game, Wyoming’s carries were 8.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.
  • Air Force had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Air Force was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Air Force’s rushing yards were 143.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.
  • On the road, Air Force’s rushing yards were 136.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.
  • At night, Air Force’s rushing yards were 136.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 23, 2026at WyomingWyoming 28, Air Force 14
Oct 18, 2025at Air ForceAir Force 24, Wyoming 21
Sep 28, 2024at WyomingWyoming 31, Air Force 19
Oct 14, 2023at Air ForceAir Force 34, Wyoming 27
Sep 16, 2022at WyomingWyoming 17, Air Force 14
Oct 9, 2021at Air ForceAir Force 24, Wyoming 14
Nov 30, 2019at Air ForceAir Force 20, Wyoming 6
Nov 17, 2018at WyomingWyoming 35, Air Force 27
Nov 11, 2017at Air ForceWyoming 28, Air Force 14
Oct 8, 2016at WyomingWyoming 35, Air Force 26

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 22, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.