Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty @ Kennesaw State

Thu, Oct 22, 2026

Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6Liberty was favored by 8.5, and Liberty covered.

Liberty at Kennesaw State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLiberty1 gameKennesaw State1 game
Points+10.1−16.0
Points allowed−20.2+6.9
Total offense, yards+17−32
Total defense, yards−74+26
Touchdowns+1.3−2.4
Passer rating+15.3−33.9
Third downs−11.2%+0.3%
Sacks+0.5−1.9
Penalty yards+27.4−29.6
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kennesaw State

Liberty

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kennesaw State

  • Kennesaw State had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Kennesaw State was 0.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 64th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−19.5 against the line this game.

Liberty

  • Liberty had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Liberty had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Liberty had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Liberty had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Liberty was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 18th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+19.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Kennesaw State had covered 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Kennesaw State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Kennesaw State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 55.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 33.9 under expected.
  • At home, Kennesaw State’s carries were 8.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 under expected.
  • Liberty was 4–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Liberty’s penalty yards were 52.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.5 over expected.
  • At night, Liberty’s penalty yards were 44.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.5 over expected.
  • On the road, Liberty’s penalty yards were 29.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 22, 2026at Kennesaw StateLiberty 34, Kennesaw State 6
Nov 29, 2025at LibertyKennesaw State 48, Liberty 42
Oct 23, 2024at Kennesaw StateKennesaw State 27, Liberty 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 21, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.