Wisconsin @ 
UCLA
UCLA 17, Wisconsin 7UCLA was favored by 2, and UCLA covered.
| a game | Wisconsin1 game | UCLA1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −10.2 | −6.8 |
| Points allowed | −15.8 | −15.3 |
| Total offense, yards | −84 | +55 |
| Total defense, yards | −35 | −107 |
| Touchdowns | −1.0 | −0.5 |
| Passer rating | −46.2 | −13.0 |
| Third downs | −2.6% | +25.5% |
| Sacks | −0.5 | +1.3 |
| Penalty yards | +53.2 | +28.1 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.7 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
UCLA
- Passing yardsTy Dieffenbach264 passing yards
- Rushing yardsAnthony Woods39 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsWayne Knight1 rushing touchdown
Wisconsin
Analysis
UCLA
- UCLA had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- UCLA had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- UCLA had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- UCLA had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- UCLA was 16.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 4th of 136, and 13.2 worse at home than away over its last 25, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.0 against the line this game.
Wisconsin
- Wisconsin had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Wisconsin had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Wisconsin was 6.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 24th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.0 against the line this game.
The series
- UCLA leads the series 8–4 since 1938. UCLA has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- UCLA was 4–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, UCLA’s carries were 8.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.
- At home, UCLA’s third-down conversion rate were 11.3% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.8% over expected.
- Wisconsin had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- On the road, Wisconsin’s pass attempts were 13.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.3 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Wisconsin’s pass attempts were 8.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.3 under expected.
- In a conference game, Wisconsin’s points allowed were 8.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.3 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at UCLA | UCLA 17, Wisconsin 7 |
| Dec 29, 2000 | neutral | Wisconsin 21, UCLA 20 |
| Jan 1, 1999 | neutral | Wisconsin 38, UCLA 31 |
| Jan 1, 1994 | neutral | Wisconsin 21, UCLA 16 |
| Sep 18, 1982 | at Wisconsin | UCLA 51, Wisconsin 26 |
| Sep 19, 1981 | at Wisconsin | UCLA 31, Wisconsin 13 |
| Sep 27, 1980 | at UCLA | UCLA 35, Wisconsin 0 |
| Sep 22, 1979 | at Wisconsin | UCLA 37, Wisconsin 12 |
| Sep 27, 1969 | at Wisconsin | UCLA 34, Wisconsin 23 |
| Oct 9, 1953 | at UCLA | UCLA 13, Wisconsin 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.