Western Michigan @ Central Michigan

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Western Michigan 21, Central Michigan 14Western Michigan was favored by 7.5, and Central Michigan covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Central Michigan was 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136, and 12.3 better at home than away over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

Western Michigan was 3.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 41st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

Central Michigan leads the series 32–28–1 since 1962. Western Michigan has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

Central Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Central Michigan had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Central Michigan was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, Central Michigan’s rushing yards were 156.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 under expected.
Western Michigan had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
Western Michigan had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Western Michigan was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
In a conference game, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 11.9% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.9% over expected.
On the road, Western Michigan’s carries were 5.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.7 over expected.

Date	Where	Score
Oct 17, 2026	at Central Michigan	Western Michigan 21, Central Michigan 14
Nov 1, 2025	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 24, Central Michigan 21
Nov 19, 2024	at Central Michigan	Central Michigan 16, Western Michigan 14
Nov 7, 2023	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 38, Central Michigan 28
Nov 16, 2022	at Central Michigan	Western Michigan 12, Central Michigan 10
Nov 3, 2021	at Western Michigan	Central Michigan 42, Western Michigan 30
Nov 18, 2020	at Central Michigan	Western Michigan 52, Central Michigan 44
Sep 28, 2019	at Western Michigan	Western Michigan 31, Central Michigan 15
Oct 20, 2018	at Central Michigan	Western Michigan 35, Central Michigan 10
Nov 1, 2017	at Western Michigan	Central Michigan 35, Western Michigan 28

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.