Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah @ Colorado

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · No. 11 at unranked

Utah 27, Colorado 24Utah was favored by 15.5, and Colorado covered.

Utah at Colorado: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUtah1 gameColorado1 game
Points−0.8+1.9
Points allowed+0.9−4.5
Total offense, yards+40+27
Total defense, yards−1−22
Touchdowns+0.2+0.6
Passer rating−12.7+11.9
Third downs+9.5%+1.9%
Sacks−2.1+1.3
Penalty yards+4.9+36.4
Turnovers forced+0.8+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Colorado

Utah

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Colorado

  • Colorado had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Colorado was 8.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 128th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.

Utah

  • Utah had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Utah had beaten 15 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
  • Utah had won 7 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Utah had won 11 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 12.
  • Utah had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Utah had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Utah was 9.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 10th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Utah leads the series 37–33–3 since 1903. Utah has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Colorado had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Colorado was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Colorado’s pass attempts were 14.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Colorado’s pass attempts were 14.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Colorado’s pass attempts were 11.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • Utah had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Utah was 5–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At night, Utah’s rushing yards were 77.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 38.4 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Utah’s penalty yards were 25.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 over expected.
  • On the road, Utah’s third-down conversion rate were 14.2% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.0% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at ColoradoUtah 27, Colorado 24
Oct 25, 2025at UtahUtah 53, Colorado 7
Nov 16, 2024at ColoradoColorado 49, Utah 24
Nov 25, 2023at UtahUtah 23, Colorado 17
Nov 26, 2022at ColoradoUtah 63, Colorado 21
Nov 26, 2021at UtahUtah 28, Colorado 13
Dec 12, 2020at ColoradoUtah 38, Colorado 21
Nov 30, 2019at UtahUtah 45, Colorado 15
Nov 17, 2018at ColoradoUtah 30, Colorado 7
Nov 25, 2017at UtahUtah 34, Colorado 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.