Tulsa @ Rice

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Tulsa 38, Rice 17Tulsa was favored by 4, and Tulsa covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Rice had lost 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
Rice was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 70th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−17.0 against the line this game.

Tulsa was 0.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 78th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+17.0 against the line this game.

Tulsa leads the series 11–9–1 since 1937. Tulsa has won 6 straight at Rice.seriesevery meeting →

Rice was 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
In a conference game, Rice’s total yards were 143.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.7 under expected.
At home, Rice’s third-down conversion rate were 22.6% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2% over expected.
In a conference game, Tulsa’s pass attempts were 9.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.7 under expected.
On the road, Tulsa’s penalty yards were 20.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.6 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.