Penn State @ 
Michigan
Michigan 21, Penn State 18Michigan was favored by 6, and Penn State covered.
| a game | Penn State1 game | Michigan1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −0.5 | −3.6 |
| Points allowed | −2.6 | −7.2 |
| Total offense, yards | +53 | −40 |
| Total defense, yards | −41 | −33 |
| Touchdowns | +0.2 | +0.3 |
| Passer rating | −13.5 | −50.8 |
| Third downs | −1.8% | +6.5% |
| Sacks | −0.8 | +1.2 |
| Penalty yards | +0.4 | +9.3 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +1.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | +0.7 |
Who put up numbers
Michigan
- Passing yardsTommy Carr47 passing yards
- Rushing yardsSavion Hiter78 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsJordan Marshall1 rushing touchdown
Penn State
Analysis
Michigan
- Michigan was 6.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 121st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.0 against the line this game.
Penn State
- Penn State was 4.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 107th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Michigan leads the series 18–10 since 1993. Michigan has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Michigan had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Michigan had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Michigan had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Michigan was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- Against an unranked opponent, Michigan’s carries were 7.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 under expected.
- Penn State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Penn State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- On the road, Penn State’s carries were 7.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.8 under expected.
- In a conference game, Penn State’s rushing yards were 66.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 55.9 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Michigan | Michigan 21, Penn State 18 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | at Penn State | Michigan 24, Penn State 15 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | at Michigan | Michigan 41, Penn State 17 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | at Penn State | Michigan 21, Penn State 17 |
| Nov 28, 2020 | at Michigan | Penn State 27, Michigan 17 |
| Oct 19, 2019 | at Penn State | Penn State 28, Michigan 21 |
| Nov 3, 2018 | at Michigan | Michigan 42, Penn State 7 |
| Oct 21, 2017 | at Penn State | Penn State 42, Michigan 13 |
| Sep 24, 2016 | at Michigan | Michigan 49, Penn State 10 |
| Nov 21, 2015 | at Penn State | Michigan 28, Penn State 16 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.