Putting Up Numbers· college football

Ohio State @ Indiana

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · No. 4 at No. 5

Ohio State 19, Indiana 15Ohio State was favored by 3, and Ohio State covered.

Ohio State at Indiana: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOhio State1 gameIndiana1 game
Points+3.6−7.7
Points allowed−17.0−11.6
Total offense, yards+11+48
Total defense, yards−45−114
Touchdowns+0.3−0.3
Passer rating−7.6−5.1
Third downs+4.2%+10.9%
Sacks−0.6+1.9
Penalty yards−3.3−12.1
Turnovers forced+0.7+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Indiana

Ohio State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Indiana

  • Indiana had won 22 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Indiana had beaten 6 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Indiana had won 19 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Indiana had beaten 27 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Indiana had won 7 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Indiana was 4.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 104th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.0 against the line this game.

Ohio State

  • Ohio State had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Ohio State had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Ohio State had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Ohio State had won 12 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Ohio State was 0.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 61st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Ohio State leads the series 81–13–5 since 1901. Ohio State has won 15 straight at Indiana.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • In a conference game, Indiana’s rushing yards were 62.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 85.0 under expected.
  • At home, Indiana’s third-down conversion rate were 6.6% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.5% over expected.
  • Ohio State had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Ohio State had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Ohio State had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Ohio State was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • On the road, Ohio State’s third-down conversion rate were 12.7% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Ohio State’s third-down conversion rate were 12.6% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6% over expected.
  • Against a top-10 opponent, Ohio State’s penalty yards were 19.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at IndianaOhio State 19, Indiana 15
Dec 6, 2025neutralIndiana 13, Ohio State 10
Nov 23, 2024at Ohio StateOhio State 38, Indiana 15
Sep 2, 2023at IndianaOhio State 23, Indiana 3
Nov 12, 2022at Ohio StateOhio State 56, Indiana 14
Oct 23, 2021at IndianaOhio State 54, Indiana 7
Nov 21, 2020at Ohio StateOhio State 42, Indiana 35
Sep 14, 2019at IndianaOhio State 51, Indiana 10
Oct 6, 2018at Ohio StateOhio State 49, Indiana 26
Aug 31, 2017at IndianaOhio State 49, Indiana 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.