Putting Up Numbers· college football

Notre Dame @ BYU

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · No. 2 at No. 8

BYU 28, Notre Dame 24Notre Dame was favored by 10.5, and BYU covered.

Notre Dame at BYU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNotre Dame1 gameBYU1 game
Points+4.2+8.2
Points allowed−3.0−8.8
Total offense, yards+55+64
Total defense, yards−39−25
Touchdowns−0.4+1.8
Passer rating−29.3+2.2
Third downs+4.2%+28.5%
Sacks−1.2−1.2
Penalty yards−13.0−18.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.3
Turnovers lost−0.1+0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

BYU

Notre Dame

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

BYU

  • BYU had covered 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • BYU had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • BYU had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
  • BYU had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • BYU had beaten 16 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • BYU was 3.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 43rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.

Notre Dame

  • Notre Dame had won 16 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Notre Dame had won 16 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Notre Dame had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Notre Dame had beaten 21 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Notre Dame had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Notre Dame was 2.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 49th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • BYU had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • BYU had won 7 of its last 10 as the underdog.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, BYU’s carries were 5.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 under expected.
  • Notre Dame had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Notre Dame had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Notre Dame was 4–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at BYUBYU 28, Notre Dame 24
Oct 8, 2022neutralNotre Dame 28, BYU 20
Oct 22, 2005at Notre DameNotre Dame 49, BYU 23
Sep 4, 2004at BYUBYU 20, Notre Dame 17
Nov 15, 2003at Notre DameNotre Dame 33, BYU 14
Oct 15, 1994at Notre DameBYU 21, Notre Dame 14
Oct 16, 1993at BYUNotre Dame 45, BYU 20
Oct 24, 1992at Notre DameNotre Dame 42, BYU 16

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.