Putting Up Numbers· college football

Northern Illinois @ Wyoming

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Wyoming 41, Northern Illinois 23Wyoming was favored by 7.5, and Wyoming covered.

Northern Illinois at Wyoming: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNorthern Illinois1 gameWyoming1 game
Points+2.2+3.6
Points allowed+20.5+7.5
Total offense, yards+38+77
Total defense, yards+181+82
Touchdowns−0.3+0.6
Passer rating−26.8+31.7
Third downs−10.6%+8.0%
Sacks−2.1+2.5
Penalty yards+36.3−32.6
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Wyoming

Northern Illinois

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Wyoming

  • Wyoming was 5.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 120th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

Northern Illinois

  • Northern Illinois had lost 7 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
  • Northern Illinois was 5.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 117th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Wyoming leads the series 3–0 since 2016. Wyoming has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Wyoming had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Wyoming had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Wyoming’s carries were 10.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 over expected.
  • At home, Wyoming’s third-down conversion rate were 17.8% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.7% over expected.
  • Northern Illinois had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Northern Illinois was 1–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Northern Illinois’ pass attempts were 15.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.8 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Northern Illinois’ penalty yards were 25.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 38.9 over expected.
  • On the road, Northern Illinois’ rushing yards were 51.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 36.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at WyomingWyoming 41, Northern Illinois 23
Sep 11, 2021at Northern IllinoisWyoming 50, Northern Illinois 43
Sep 3, 2016at WyomingWyoming 40, Northern Illinois 34

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.