Mississippi State @ 
LSU
LSU 31, Mississippi State 0LSU was favored by 17.5, and LSU covered.
| a game | Mississippi State1 game | LSU1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −20.0 | 0.0 |
| Points allowed | −5.3 | −25.1 |
| Total offense, yards | −5 | −12 |
| Total defense, yards | −103 | −92 |
| Touchdowns | −2.1 | +0.9 |
| Passer rating | −30.7 | +32.6 |
| Third downs | +11.6% | +21.2% |
| Sacks | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| Penalty yards | +20.6 | −30.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
LSU
- Passing yardsSam Leavitt289 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsSam Leavitt4 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsDilin Jones84 rushing yards
Mississippi State
Analysis
LSU
- LSU had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- LSU was 3.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 40th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+13.5 against the line this game.
Mississippi State
- Mississippi State was 6.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 22nd of 136, and 10.1 better away than at home over its last 25, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−13.5 against the line this game.
The series
- LSU leads the series 74–35–3 since 1902. LSU has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- LSU had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- LSU was 2–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, LSU’s total yards were 138.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 106.2 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, LSU’s penalty yards were 22.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.1 under expected.
- In a conference game, LSU’s pass attempts were 4.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.2 over expected.
- Mississippi State had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, Mississippi State’s pass attempts were 9.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Mississippi State’s pass attempts were 8.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
- In a conference game, Mississippi State’s rushing yards were 51.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 56.5 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at LSU | LSU 31, Mississippi State 0 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | at Mississippi State | LSU 41, Mississippi State 14 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | at LSU | LSU 31, Mississippi State 16 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | at Mississippi State | LSU 28, Mississippi State 25 |
| Sep 26, 2020 | at LSU | Mississippi State 44, LSU 34 |
| Oct 19, 2019 | at Mississippi State | LSU 36, Mississippi State 13 |
| Oct 20, 2018 | at LSU | LSU 19, Mississippi State 3 |
| Sep 16, 2017 | at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 37, LSU 7 |
| Sep 17, 2016 | at LSU | LSU 23, Mississippi State 20 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | at LSU | Mississippi State 34, LSU 29 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.