Kentucky @ 
Oklahoma
Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13Oklahoma was favored by 6.5, and Kentucky covered.
| a game | Kentucky1 game | Oklahoma1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −0.6 | −17.1 |
| Points allowed | −11.8 | −6.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −94 | −46 |
| Total defense, yards | −8 | −139 |
| Touchdowns | −0.4 | −2.5 |
| Passer rating | +15.6 | −34.5 |
| Third downs | +8.4% | +3.8% |
| Sacks | +3.0 | +0.8 |
| Penalty yards | −25.9 | −23.4 |
| Turnovers forced | +2.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | +2.6 |
Who put up numbers
Oklahoma
- Passing yardsJohn Mateer270 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJohn Mateer1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsLloyd Avant31 rushing yards
Kentucky
Analysis
Oklahoma
- Oklahoma was 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 102nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.
Kentucky
- Kentucky’s passing yards were 108.0 higher vs a top-10 opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 31 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 40.7 under expected.
- Kentucky’s passing yards were 89.6 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 78 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 40.7 under expected.
- Kentucky had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Kentucky had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Kentucky was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 2–2 since 1950.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Oklahoma had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Oklahoma had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Oklahoma had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, Oklahoma’s third-down conversion rate were 20.6% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.9% over expected.
- At night, Oklahoma’s points allowed were 15.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.3 under expected.
- At home, Oklahoma’s points allowed were 12.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.3 under expected.
- Kentucky had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Kentucky was 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- Against an unranked opponent, Kentucky’s rushing yards were 91.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 80.7 under expected.
- At night, Kentucky’s penalty yards were 30.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 22.5 under expected.
- On the road, Kentucky’s passing yards were 72.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 40.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Oklahoma | Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13 |
| Sep 18, 1982 | at Kentucky | Oklahoma 29, Kentucky 8 |
| Sep 13, 1980 | at Oklahoma | Oklahoma 29, Kentucky 7 |
| Jan 1, 1951 | neutral | Kentucky 13, Oklahoma 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.