Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kansas @ Kansas State

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Kansas State 35, Kansas 24Kansas State was favored by 3, and Kansas State covered.

Kansas at Kansas State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameKansas1 gameKansas State1 game
Points+1.8+7.8
Points allowed+5.1−0.7
Total offense, yards−29+202
Total defense, yards+168−90
Touchdowns−0.9−0.2
Passer rating−34.0+11.9
Third downs−11.0%+8.0%
Sacks−0.7−1.0
Penalty yards+11.1−4.7
Turnovers forced−0.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.1−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kansas State

Kansas

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kansas State

  • Kansas State was 1.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 80th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.0 against the line this game.

Kansas

  • Kansas was 4.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 39th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Kansas leads the series 64–55–5 since 1902. Kansas State has won the last 18.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Kansas State had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Kansas State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Kansas State was 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kansas State’s third-down conversion rate were 16.1% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Kansas State’s pass attempts were 6.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.9 under expected.
  • Kansas had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Kansas’ carries were 15.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.0 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kansas’ rushing yards were 148.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.8 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Kansas’ carries were 6.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.0 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at Kansas StateKansas State 35, Kansas 24
Oct 25, 2025at KansasKansas State 42, Kansas 17
Oct 26, 2024at Kansas StateKansas State 29, Kansas 27
Nov 18, 2023at KansasKansas State 31, Kansas 27
Nov 26, 2022at Kansas StateKansas State 47, Kansas 27
Nov 6, 2021at KansasKansas State 35, Kansas 10
Oct 24, 2020at Kansas StateKansas State 55, Kansas 14
Nov 2, 2019at KansasKansas State 38, Kansas 10
Nov 10, 2018at Kansas StateKansas State 21, Kansas 17
Oct 28, 2017at KansasKansas State 30, Kansas 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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