Putting Up Numbers· college football

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Virginia Tech 34, Georgia Tech 24Virginia Tech was favored by 8.5, and Virginia Tech covered.

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameGeorgia Tech1 gameVirginia Tech1 game
Points+2.9+1.3
Points allowed+1.7+2.4
Total offense, yards+92−13
Total defense, yards0+93
Touchdowns+0.3+0.1
Passer rating+29.4+73.3
Third downs−0.1%−11.6%
Sacks+2.5+0.5
Penalty yards−6.5−23.3
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Virginia Tech

  • Virginia Tech was 0.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 74th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.5 against the line this game.

Georgia Tech

  • Georgia Tech was 4.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 108th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Virginia Tech was 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Virginia Tech’s passing yards were 119.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.7 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Virginia Tech’s penalty yards were 16.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.6 under expected.
  • Georgia Tech had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Georgia Tech had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 52.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.3 under expected.
  • On the road, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 57.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.3 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 32.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at Virginia TechVirginia Tech 34, Georgia Tech 24
Oct 11, 2025at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 35, Virginia Tech 20
Oct 26, 2024at Virginia TechVirginia Tech 21, Georgia Tech 6
Nov 5, 2022at Virginia TechGeorgia Tech 28, Virginia Tech 27
Oct 30, 2021at Georgia TechVirginia Tech 26, Georgia Tech 17
Nov 16, 2019at Georgia TechVirginia Tech 45, Georgia Tech 0
Oct 25, 2018at Virginia TechGeorgia Tech 49, Virginia Tech 28
Nov 11, 2017at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 28, Virginia Tech 22
Nov 12, 2016at Virginia TechGeorgia Tech 30, Virginia Tech 20
Nov 12, 2015at Georgia TechVirginia Tech 23, Georgia Tech 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.