Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida Atlantic @ Army

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Army 56, Florida Atlantic 24Army was favored by 2, and Army covered.

Florida Atlantic at Army: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlorida Atlantic1 gameArmy1 game
Points−1.0+21.5
Points allowed+26.7−6.9
Total offense, yards+38+19
Total defense, yards+82+40
Touchdowns−0.4+3.6
Passer rating−3.2−93.0
Third downs+29.1%+16.8%
Sacks−1.2−0.1
Penalty yards+1.4−35.2
Turnovers forced−1.3+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Army

Florida Atlantic

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Army

  • Army was 1.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 55th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+30.0 against the line this game.

Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Florida Atlantic had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Florida Atlantic had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Florida Atlantic was 4.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 35th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−30.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Army leads the series 2–0 since 2024. Army has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Army had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Army was 1–2–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Army’s pass attempts were 11.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.6 under expected.
  • At home, Army’s pass attempts were 10.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.6 under expected.
  • On the road, Florida Atlantic’s pass attempts were 11.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Florida Atlantic’s carries were 10.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at ArmyArmy 56, Florida Atlantic 24
Sep 7, 2024at Florida AtlanticArmy 24, Florida Atlantic 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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