Putting Up Numbers· college football

Auburn @ Georgia

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Unranked at No. 1

Auburn 27, Georgia 24Georgia was favored by 19.5, and Auburn covered.

Auburn at Georgia: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAuburn1 gameGeorgia1 game
Points+10.6−6.6
Points allowed−13.6+6.2
Total offense, yards+64+31
Total defense, yards+8+25
Touchdowns+0.8−0.4
Passer rating+6.1+13.6
Third downs+0.7%+9.5%
Sacks+0.5+1.7
Penalty yards+28.9+1.3
Turnovers forced+1.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.5+1.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Georgia

Auburn

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia

  • Georgia had beaten 53 straight unranked teams, tied for the 5th-longest since 1936.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Georgia had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Georgia had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Georgia had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Georgia had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Georgia was 7.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 17th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−22.5 against the line this game.

Auburn

  • Auburn was 2.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 96th of 136, and 8.0 better away than at home over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+22.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Georgia had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Georgia was 4–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Georgia’s points were 13.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.2 under expected.
  • Auburn had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Auburn’s penalty yards were 30.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.6 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Auburn’s carries were 5.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at GeorgiaAuburn 27, Georgia 24
Oct 11, 2025at AuburnGeorgia 20, Auburn 10
Oct 5, 2024at GeorgiaGeorgia 31, Auburn 13
Sep 30, 2023at AuburnGeorgia 27, Auburn 20
Oct 8, 2022at GeorgiaGeorgia 42, Auburn 10
Oct 9, 2021at AuburnGeorgia 34, Auburn 10
Oct 3, 2020at GeorgiaGeorgia 27, Auburn 6
Nov 16, 2019at AuburnGeorgia 21, Auburn 14
Nov 10, 2018at GeorgiaGeorgia 27, Auburn 10
Dec 2, 2017neutralGeorgia 28, Auburn 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.