Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron @ Miami (OH)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Miami (OH) 34, Akron 14Miami (OH) was favored by 9.5, and Miami (OH) covered.

Akron at Miami (OH): against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAkron1 gameMiami (OH)1 game
Points−12.2−0.3
Points allowed+7.5−4.3
Total offense, yards−58−48
Total defense, yards+23−13
Touchdowns−1.3−1.1
Passer rating−41.6−53.6
Third downs−5.4%−18.3%
Sacks−0.4+0.5
Penalty yards−5.5−18.5
Turnovers forced−0.2+2.8
Turnovers lost+2.9−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Miami (OH)

Akron

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Miami (OH)

  • Miami (OH) was 5.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 112th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

Akron

  • Akron had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Akron was 4.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 105th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Miami (OH) leads the series 23–8 since 1993. Miami (OH) has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Miami (OH) had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Miami (OH) was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Miami (OH)’s penalty yards were 25.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.9 under expected.
  • At home, Miami (OH)’s points were 8.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2 over expected.
  • Akron was 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, Akron’s pass attempts were 4.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Akron’s pass attempts were 3.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 34, Akron 14
Oct 11, 2025at AkronMiami (OH) 20, Akron 7
Nov 8, 2023at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 19, Akron 0
Oct 29, 2022at AkronMiami (OH) 27, Akron 9
Oct 16, 2021at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 34, Akron 21
Nov 28, 2020at AkronMiami (OH) 38, Akron 7
Nov 20, 2019at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 20, Akron 17
Oct 6, 2018at AkronMiami (OH) 41, Akron 17
Nov 7, 2017at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) 24, Akron 14
Oct 8, 2016at AkronAkron 35, Miami (OH) 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.