Putting Up Numbers· college football

Washington @ Purdue

Fri, Oct 16, 2026

Washington 38, Purdue 26Purdue was favored by 3, and Washington covered.

Washington at Purdue: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWashington1 gamePurdue1 game
Points+9.20.0
Points allowed−3.1+16.5
Total offense, yards+95+1
Total defense, yards−14+154
Touchdowns+1.6+0.1
Passer rating+48.8−33.3
Third downs+15.8%−1.6%
Sacks+1.1−2.2
Penalty yards−24.1−9.1
Turnovers forced+0.8+3.7
Turnovers lost+3.9+0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Purdue

Washington

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Purdue

  • Purdue was 4.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 37th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−15.0 against the line this game.

Washington

  • Washington was 12.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+15.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Washington leads the series 9–2–1 since 1961. Washington has won the last 2. Washington has won 4 straight at Purdue.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Purdue had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Purdue’s carries were 8.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.2 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Purdue’s total yards were 75.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 40.2 under expected.
  • Washington had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Washington’s third-down conversion rate were 30.8% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.0% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Washington’s third-down conversion rate were 16.9% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.0% over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Washington’s points were 5.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 16, 2026at PurdueWashington 38, Purdue 26
Nov 15, 2025at WashingtonWashington 49, Purdue 13
Dec 31, 2002neutralPurdue 34, Washington 24
Jan 1, 2001neutralWashington 34, Purdue 24
Sep 15, 1990at PurdueWashington 20, Purdue 14
Sep 16, 1989at WashingtonWashington 38, Purdue 9
Sep 10, 1988at PurdueWashington 20, Purdue 6
Sep 12, 1987at WashingtonWashington 28, Purdue 10
Sep 23, 1972at PurdueWashington 22, Purdue 21
Sep 18, 1971at WashingtonWashington 38, Purdue 35

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 15, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.