Putting Up Numbers· college football

Memphis @ Tulane

Fri, Oct 16, 2026

Tulane 31, Memphis 17Memphis was favored by 6.5, and Tulane covered.

Memphis at Tulane: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMemphis1 gameTulane1 game
Points−8.6+3.5
Points allowed+7.4−14.2
Total offense, yards+103−79
Total defense, yards−40+45
Touchdowns−1.0−1.0
Passer rating−6.0−2.3
Third downs−25.1%−11.5%
Sacks−1.1+5.3
Penalty yards−43.0+25.7
Turnovers forced+0.8+4.8
Turnovers lost+4.9+0.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Tulane

Memphis

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Tulane

  • Tulane had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
  • Tulane was 2.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 95th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.

Memphis

  • Memphis was 6.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 19th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Memphis leads the series 25–17–1 since 1954. Tulane has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Tulane’s rushing yards were 83.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.2 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Tulane’s total yards were 114.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 64.1 under expected.
  • Memphis had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Memphis was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Memphis’ carries were 10.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.8 over expected.
  • On the road, Memphis’ total yards were 85.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.6 over expected.
  • At night, Memphis’ passing yards were 55.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 46.7 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 16, 2026at TulaneTulane 31, Memphis 17
Nov 7, 2025at MemphisTulane 38, Memphis 32
Nov 28, 2024at TulaneMemphis 34, Tulane 24
Oct 13, 2023at MemphisTulane 31, Memphis 21
Oct 22, 2022at TulaneTulane 38, Memphis 28
Nov 27, 2021at MemphisMemphis 33, Tulane 28
Dec 5, 2020at TulaneTulane 35, Memphis 21
Oct 19, 2019at MemphisMemphis 47, Tulane 17
Sep 28, 2018at TulaneTulane 40, Memphis 24
Oct 27, 2017at MemphisMemphis 56, Tulane 26

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 15, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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