Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida International @ Jacksonville State

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

Jacksonville State 27, Florida International 24Jacksonville State was favored by 3, and the game pushed.

Florida International at Jacksonville State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlorida International1 gameJacksonville State1 game
Points+3.3+1.7
Points allowed−0.1+6.6
Total offense, yards+77+38
Total defense, yards−9+71
Touchdowns+0.8+0.2
Passer rating+12.3+43.6
Third downs+11.5%−8.5%
Sacks−0.2−0.9
Penalty yards+41.5+25.1
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Jacksonville State

Florida International

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Jacksonville State

  • Jacksonville State was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 68th of 136, and 12.4 better at home than away over its last 25, 8th of 136.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

Florida International

  • Florida International had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Florida International was 0.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 73rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →0.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Jacksonville State had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Jacksonville State had covered 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Jacksonville State was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →A push.
  • In a conference game, Jacksonville State’s pass attempts were 9.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • At home, Jacksonville State’s carries were 5.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 under expected.
  • Florida International had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Florida International had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Florida International’s passing yards were 139.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 82.8 over expected.
  • On the road, Florida International’s pass attempts were 11.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.1 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 13, 2026at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State 27, Florida International 24
Nov 22, 2025at Florida InternationalFlorida International 27, Jacksonville State 21
Nov 16, 2024at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State 34, Florida International 31
Oct 25, 2023at Florida InternationalJacksonville State 41, Florida International 16
Oct 23, 2020at Florida InternationalJacksonville State 19, Florida International 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 12, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.