Virginia Tech @ 
California
California 25, Virginia Tech 20Virginia Tech was favored by 11, and California covered.
| a game | Virginia Tech1 game | California1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −10.0 | −0.6 |
| Points allowed | +1.3 | −9.4 |
| Total offense, yards | +11 | +37 |
| Total defense, yards | +38 | +16 |
| Touchdowns | −0.8 | −0.2 |
| Passer rating | +19.0 | −1.8 |
| Third downs | −3.6% | +12.5% |
| Sacks | −1.1 | +0.2 |
| Penalty yards | +26.3 | +41.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
California
- Passing yardsJackson Brousseau321 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJackson Brousseau1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsAshten Emory46 rushing yards
Virginia Tech
Analysis
California
- California was 9.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+16.0 against the line this game.
Virginia Tech
- Virginia Tech was 3.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−16.0 against the line this game.
The series
- California leads the series 2–1 since 2003.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- California had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- California was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, California’s total yards were 111.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 42.7 over expected.
- At home, California’s third-down conversion rate were 5.5% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.7% over expected.
- Virginia Tech had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Virginia Tech was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Virginia Tech’s rushing yards were 66.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 49.1 under expected.
- In a conference game, Virginia Tech’s rushing yards were 49.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 49.1 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at California | California 25, Virginia Tech 20 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech 42, California 34 |
| Dec 26, 2003 | neutral | California 52, Virginia Tech 49 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.