UCLA @
Oregon
UCLA 17, Oregon 15Oregon was favored by 10, and UCLA covered.
| a game | UCLA1 game | Oregon1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.5 | −6.1 |
| Points allowed | −17.8 | −11.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −23 | −49 |
| Total defense, yards | −156 | −47 |
| Touchdowns | −0.7 | −0.4 |
| Passer rating | −2.3 | −24.8 |
| Third downs | −11.5% | −27.2% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | +0.3 |
| Penalty yards | +25.6 | −11.4 |
| Turnovers forced | +4.8 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | +4.5 |
Who put up numbers
Oregon
- Passing yardsBrock Thomas156 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsBrock Thomas1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsDierre Hill Jr.44 rushing yards
UCLA
Analysis
Oregon
- Oregon had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Oregon was 3.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 97th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.
UCLA
- UCLA had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- UCLA had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- UCLA had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- UCLA had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- UCLA was 18.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 136, and 12.3 better away than at home over its last 25, 2nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.
The series
- UCLA leads the series 41–33 since 1928.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Oregon had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Oregon had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Oregon had beaten 7 of its last 10 ranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Oregon was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- Against a ranked opponent, Oregon’s passing yards were 159.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.2 under expected.
- At home, Oregon’s penalty yards were 42.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6 under expected.
- In a conference game, UCLA’s points were 22.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.7 under expected.
- On the road, UCLA’s points were 18.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at Oregon | UCLA 17, Oregon 15 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | at UCLA | Oregon 34, UCLA 13 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | at Oregon | Oregon 45, UCLA 30 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | at UCLA | Oregon 34, UCLA 31 |
| Nov 21, 2020 | at Oregon | Oregon 38, UCLA 35 |
| Nov 3, 2018 | at Oregon | Oregon 42, UCLA 21 |
| Oct 21, 2017 | at UCLA | UCLA 31, Oregon 14 |
| Oct 11, 2014 | at UCLA | Oregon 42, UCLA 30 |
| Oct 26, 2013 | at Oregon | Oregon 42, UCLA 14 |
| Dec 2, 2011 | neutral | Oregon 49, UCLA 31 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.