Putting Up Numbers· college football

UAB @ Memphis

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Memphis 38, UAB 13Memphis was favored by 15, and Memphis covered.

UAB at Memphis: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameUAB1 gameMemphis1 game
Points−11.4+9.9
Points allowed+4.2−7.3
Total offense, yards−65+46
Total defense, yards−870
Touchdowns−1.6+2.0
Passer rating−40.4+15.8
Third downs−14.9%+9.4%
Sacks−0.9+0.2
Penalty yards−28.2+24.9
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.6−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Memphis

UAB

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Memphis

  • Memphis was 6.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 28th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.

UAB

  • UAB was 0.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 66th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Memphis had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Memphis’ carries were 18.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 over expected.
  • At home, Memphis’ rushing yards were 126.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.2 over expected.
  • At night, Memphis’ passing yards were 52.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 62.1 under expected.
  • On the road, UAB’s penalty yards were 21.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 32.5 under expected.
  • In a conference game, UAB’s pass attempts were 7.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • At night, UAB’s rushing yards were 43.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at MemphisMemphis 38, UAB 13
Oct 18, 2025at UABUAB 31, Memphis 24
Nov 16, 2024at MemphisMemphis 53, UAB 18
Oct 21, 2023at UABMemphis 45, UAB 21
Nov 17, 2012at UABMemphis 46, UAB 9
Nov 12, 2011at MemphisUAB 41, Memphis 35
Nov 20, 2010at UABUAB 31, Memphis 15
Nov 14, 2009at MemphisUAB 31, Memphis 21
Oct 2, 2008at UABMemphis 33, UAB 30
Nov 17, 2007at MemphisMemphis 25, UAB 9

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.