Putting Up Numbers· college football

Tulane @ Army

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Army 20, Tulane 17Army was favored by 5.5, and Tulane covered.

Tulane at Army: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTulane1 gameArmy1 game
Points−8.7−9.9
Points allowed−12.6−3.5
Total offense, yards−130−77
Total defense, yards−64−59
Touchdowns−1.5−1.5
Passer rating−36.3−62.1
Third downs+6.3%+10.1%
Sacks−1.2−1.4
Penalty yards−27.5−34.4
Turnovers forced−1.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.1−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Army

Tulane

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Army

  • Army was 2.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 52nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.5 against the line this game.

Tulane

  • Tulane had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Tulane was 4.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 104th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • In a conference game, Army’s pass attempts were 11.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.4 under expected.
  • At home, Army’s pass attempts were 8.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.4 under expected.
  • Tulane had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Tulane had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Tulane’s rushing yards were 58.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 25.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at ArmyArmy 20, Tulane 17
Oct 18, 2025at TulaneTulane 24, Army 17
Dec 6, 2024at ArmyArmy 35, Tulane 14
Nov 14, 2020at TulaneTulane 38, Army 12
Oct 5, 2019at ArmyTulane 42, Army 33
Sep 23, 2017at TulaneTulane 21, Army 17
Nov 14, 2015at ArmyTulane 34, Army 31
Oct 1, 2011at ArmyArmy 45, Tulane 6
Oct 9, 2010at TulaneArmy 41, Tulane 23
Oct 3, 2009at ArmyTulane 17, Army 16

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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