Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas vs Oklahoma

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · No. 1 vs unranked

Oklahoma 27, Texas 24Texas was favored by 8, and Oklahoma covered.

Texas vs Oklahoma: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTexas1 gameOklahoma1 game
Points+0.4+6.5
Points allowed+5.6−4.0
Total offense, yards+55−79
Total defense, yards−109+30
Touchdowns+0.4−1.0
Passer rating+18.2−5.7
Third downs−13.9%−22.1%
Sacks+0.8−0.6
Penalty yards+4.2+5.6
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Oklahoma

Texas

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Oklahoma

  • Oklahoma was 7.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 123rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+11.0 against the line this game.

Texas

  • Texas had won 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Texas had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Texas had beaten 4 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Texas had won 12 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Texas was 3.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 44th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−11.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a ranked opponent, Oklahoma’s third-down conversion rate were 21.8% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.5% under expected.
  • Texas was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Texas’ penalty yards were 56.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.3 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Texas’ third-down conversion rate were 19.7% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.8% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026neutralOklahoma 27, Texas 24
Oct 11, 2025neutralTexas 23, Oklahoma 6
Oct 12, 2024neutralTexas 34, Oklahoma 3
Oct 7, 2023neutralOklahoma 34, Texas 30
Oct 8, 2022neutralTexas 49, Oklahoma 0
Oct 9, 2021neutralOklahoma 55, Texas 48
Oct 10, 2020neutralOklahoma 53, Texas 45
Oct 12, 2019neutralOklahoma 34, Texas 27
Dec 1, 2018neutralOklahoma 39, Texas 27
Oct 6, 2018neutralTexas 48, Oklahoma 45

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.