Putting Up Numbers· college football

Stanford @ Notre Dame

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Unranked at No. 3

Notre Dame 58, Stanford 7Notre Dame was favored by 40, and Notre Dame covered.

Stanford at Notre Dame: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameStanford1 gameNotre Dame1 game
Points−10.2+22.2
Points allowed+24.0−12.8
Total offense, yards−73+163
Total defense, yards+194−143
Touchdowns−0.9+3.4
Passer rating−24.3+32.9
Third downs−20.7%+16.5%
Sacks−1.0−1.1
Penalty yards+1.6−28.7
Turnovers forced−1.3+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.7−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Notre Dame

Stanford

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Notre Dame

  • Notre Dame had won 15 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
  • Notre Dame had beaten 20 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 21.
  • Notre Dame had won 15 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
  • Notre Dame had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
  • Notre Dame had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Notre Dame was 1.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 61st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+11.0 against the line this game.

Stanford

  • Stanford was 11.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 133rd of 136, and 14.8 worse away than at home over its last 25, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−11.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Notre Dame leads the series 25–14 since 1924. Notre Dame has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Notre Dame was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Notre Dame’s rushing yards were 58.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 181.1 over expected.
  • Stanford had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Stanford was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, Stanford’s total yards were 116.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 63.7 under expected.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Stanford’s points were 14.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at Notre DameNotre Dame 58, Stanford 7
Nov 29, 2025at StanfordNotre Dame 49, Stanford 20
Oct 12, 2024at Notre DameNotre Dame 49, Stanford 7
Nov 25, 2023at StanfordNotre Dame 56, Stanford 23
Oct 15, 2022at Notre DameStanford 16, Notre Dame 14
Nov 27, 2021at StanfordNotre Dame 45, Stanford 14
Nov 30, 2019at StanfordNotre Dame 45, Stanford 24
Sep 29, 2018at Notre DameNotre Dame 38, Stanford 17
Nov 25, 2017at StanfordStanford 38, Notre Dame 20
Oct 15, 2016at Notre DameStanford 17, Notre Dame 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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