Miami (OH) @ 
UMass
Miami (OH) 20, UMass 19Miami (OH) was favored by 6, and UMass covered.
| a game | Miami (OH)1 game | UMass1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.0 | −11.3 |
| Points allowed | −8.5 | −3.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −108 | −90 |
| Total defense, yards | −36 | −86 |
| Touchdowns | −1.1 | −1.8 |
| Passer rating | −69.6 | −11.4 |
| Third downs | −17.5% | −16.4% |
| Sacks | +1.4 | −0.7 |
| Penalty yards | +7.0 | −2.0 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
UMass
- Passing yardsAedan McCarthy171 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLogan Inagawa1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsCurtis Kimmons IV35 rushing yards
Miami (OH)
Analysis
UMass
- UMass was 6.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 24th of 136, and 11.5 worse at home than away over its last 25, 133rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+5.0 against the line this game.
Miami (OH)
- Miami (OH) was 5.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 107th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−5.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Miami (OH) leads the series 6–1 since 2012. Miami (OH) has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, UMass’ third-down conversion rate were 25.0% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.2% under expected.
- In a conference game, UMass’ third-down conversion rate were 25.0% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.2% under expected.
- In a conference game, Miami (OH)’s penalty yards were 51.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.0 over expected.
- On the road, Miami (OH)’s points allowed were 14.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.4 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at UMass | Miami (OH) 20, UMass 19 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 23, UMass 20 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | at UMass | Miami (OH) 41, UMass 28 |
| Nov 21, 2015 | at UMass | Miami (OH) 20, UMass 13 |
| Oct 4, 2014 | at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 42, UMass 41 |
| Oct 12, 2013 | at UMass | UMass 17, Miami (OH) 10 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 27, UMass 16 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.