Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kent State @ Western Michigan

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Western Michigan 38, Kent State 7Western Michigan was favored by 13.5, and Western Michigan covered.

Kent State at Western Michigan: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameKent State1 gameWestern Michigan1 game
Points−14.7+5.7
Points allowed+12.2−8.5
Total offense, yards−53+74
Total defense, yards+135+7
Touchdowns−1.7+1.3
Passer rating−23.4+36.1
Third downs−14.8%+13.1%
Sacks−1.8+3.2
Penalty yards+42.6−6.5
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Western Michigan

Kent State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Western Michigan

  • Western Michigan was 0.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 63rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.

Kent State

  • Kent State was 0.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 76th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Western Michigan leads the series 35–12–1 since 1962. Western Michigan has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Western Michigan had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Western Michigan had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Western Michigan had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Western Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 20.2% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.5% over expected.
  • In a conference game, Western Michigan’s rushing yards were 79.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 55.3 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Western Michigan’s total yards were 60.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 141.0 over expected.
  • On the road, Kent State’s points allowed were 17.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Kent State’s points allowed were 16.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.9 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kent State’s passing yards were 46.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 38, Kent State 7
Oct 26, 2024at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 52, Kent State 21
Oct 16, 2021at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 64, Kent State 31
Nov 8, 2017at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 48, Kent State 20
Nov 8, 2016at Kent StateWestern Michigan 37, Kent State 21
Sep 28, 2013at Western MichiganKent State 32, Western Michigan 14
Oct 20, 2012at Kent StateKent State 41, Western Michigan 24
Nov 20, 2010at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 38, Kent State 3
Oct 31, 2009at Kent StateKent State 26, Western Michigan 14
Oct 29, 2005at Western MichiganWestern Michigan 44, Kent State 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.