Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison @ Georgia Southern

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

James Madison 27, Georgia Southern 24James Madison was favored by 7, and Georgia Southern covered.

James Madison at Georgia Southern: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJames Madison1 gameGeorgia Southern1 game
Points+6.2−0.6
Points allowed−1.1−4.5
Total offense, yards+110+85
Total defense, yards+72+42
Touchdowns+0.6+0.2
Passer rating+23.1+24.8
Third downs−5.8%+2.5%
Sacks−1.5+1.5
Penalty yards+14.9+19.9
Turnovers forced+0.7−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Georgia Southern

James Madison

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia Southern

  • Georgia Southern was 3.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 47th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.

James Madison

  • James Madison had beaten 16 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 17.
  • James Madison had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • James Madison had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • James Madison had won 4 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • James Madison had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • James Madison had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • James Madison was 17.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • James Madison leads the series 3–2 since 2022. James Madison has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Georgia Southern had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Georgia Southern had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Georgia Southern’s points allowed were 15.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Georgia Southern’s carries were 8.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7 under expected.
  • At night, Georgia Southern’s carries were 4.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7 under expected.
  • James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • James Madison was 4–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, James Madison’s points were 15.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.
  • On the road, James Madison’s third-down conversion rate were 8.1% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at Georgia SouthernJames Madison 27, Georgia Southern 24
Sep 27, 2025at James MadisonJames Madison 35, Georgia Southern 10
Oct 19, 2024at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 28, James Madison 14
Oct 14, 2023at James MadisonJames Madison 41, Georgia Southern 13
Oct 15, 2022at Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern 45, James Madison 38

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.