Putting Up Numbers· college football

Indiana @ Nebraska

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · No. 7 at unranked

Indiana 20, Nebraska 17Indiana was favored by 9, and Nebraska covered.

Indiana at Nebraska: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameIndiana1 gameNebraska1 game
Points+2.3−3.2
Points allowed−15.0−7.3
Total offense, yards+27+56
Total defense, yards−34−59
Touchdowns+0.2−0.3
Passer rating+63.4−30.7
Third downs−23.2%+15.7%
Sacks+3.3+0.3
Penalty yards−21.3+6.3
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Nebraska

Indiana

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Nebraska

  • Nebraska had won 5 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Nebraska had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Nebraska had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Nebraska had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Nebraska was 9.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+6.0 against the line this game.

Indiana

  • Indiana had won 21 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 22.
  • Indiana had beaten 26 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 27.
  • Indiana had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
  • Indiana had beaten 6 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Indiana had won 19 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Indiana was 3.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−6.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Indiana leads the series 12–9–3 since 1936. Indiana has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • In a conference game, Nebraska’s penalty yards were 37.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 over expected.
  • At home, Nebraska’s penalty yards were 25.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 over expected.
  • Indiana had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Indiana was 1–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • In a conference game, Indiana’s rushing yards were 137.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 87.3 under expected.
  • On the road, Indiana’s rushing yards were 160.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 87.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at NebraskaIndiana 20, Nebraska 17
Oct 19, 2024at IndianaIndiana 56, Nebraska 7
Oct 1, 2022at NebraskaNebraska 35, Indiana 21
Oct 26, 2019at NebraskaIndiana 38, Nebraska 31
Oct 15, 2016at IndianaNebraska 27, Indiana 22
Sep 30, 1978at IndianaNebraska 69, Indiana 17
Oct 1, 1977at NebraskaNebraska 31, Indiana 13
Sep 18, 1976at IndianaNebraska 45, Indiana 13
Sep 20, 1975at NebraskaNebraska 45, Indiana 0
Oct 17, 1959at NebraskaIndiana 23, Nebraska 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.