Putting Up Numbers· college football

Hawaii @ Arizona State

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Arizona State 30, Hawaii 12Arizona State was favored by 20.5, and Hawaii covered.

Hawaii at Arizona State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameHawaii1 gameArizona State1 game
Points−17.3+1.7
Points allowed+1.3−7.7
Total offense, yards−50+36
Total defense, yards+29−31
Touchdowns−2.2+0.8
Passer rating−39.4+4.3
Third downs+0.2%−9.3%
Sacks−1.8+0.6
Penalty yards−2.8−2.4
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Arizona State

Hawaii

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Arizona State

  • Arizona State was 8.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 126th of 136, and 9.7 worse at home than away over its last 25, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.5 against the line this game.

Hawaii

  • Hawaii was 8.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 128th of 136, and 17.0 worse away than at home over its last 25, 134th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Arizona State leads the series 6–2 since 1954. Arizona State has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Arizona State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Arizona State’s penalty yards were 39.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.7 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Arizona State’s penalty yards were 15.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.7 under expected.
  • On the road, Hawaii’s pass attempts were 9.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at Arizona StateArizona State 30, Hawaii 12
Dec 24, 2006neutralHawaii 41, Arizona State 24
Dec 1, 1979at HawaiiHawaii 29, Arizona State 17
Dec 7, 1974at HawaiiArizona State 26, Hawaii 3
Dec 4, 1959at HawaiiArizona State 14, Hawaii 6
Sep 20, 1958at Arizona StateArizona State 47, Hawaii 6
Dec 2, 1955at HawaiiArizona State 39, Hawaii 6
Sep 18, 1954at Arizona StateArizona State 28, Hawaii 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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