Putting Up Numbers· college football

Eastern Michigan @ Akron

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23Eastern Michigan was favored by 5, and Akron covered.

Eastern Michigan at Akron: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEastern Michigan1 gameAkron1 game
Points−5.6−6.8
Points allowed+1.2+6.0
Total offense, yards+7−50
Total defense, yards+10+109
Touchdowns−1.7−0.6
Passer rating−29.8+44.2
Third downs+7.1%−1.8%
Sacks+0.7−2.4
Penalty yards+7.0+24.1
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Akron

Eastern Michigan

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Akron

  • Akron was 5.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 111th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.0 against the line this game.

Eastern Michigan

  • Eastern Michigan was 0.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 78th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Akron was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, Akron’s penalty yards were 40.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.7 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Akron’s points allowed were 12.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.3 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 46.0% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.3% over expected.
  • On the road, Eastern Michigan’s third-down conversion rate were 14.8% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.3% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at AkronEastern Michigan 25, Akron 23
Oct 26, 2024at AkronAkron 25, Eastern Michigan 21
Nov 14, 2023at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan 30, Akron 27
Nov 8, 2022at AkronEastern Michigan 34, Akron 28
Nov 12, 2019at AkronEastern Michigan 42, Akron 14
Nov 10, 2018at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan 27, Akron 7
Oct 10, 2015at Eastern MichiganAkron 47, Eastern Michigan 21
Oct 4, 2014at AkronAkron 31, Eastern Michigan 6
Oct 1, 2011at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan 31, Akron 23
Nov 27, 2009at AkronAkron 28, Eastern Michigan 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.