Duke @ Georgia Tech

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Georgia Tech 28, Duke 25Duke was favored by 4.5, and Georgia Tech covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Georgia Tech had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Georgia Tech was 7.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 123rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.5 against the line this game.

Duke had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Duke had won 8 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Duke had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Duke had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Duke had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Duke was 11.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.5 against the line this game.

Georgia Tech leads the series 57–35–1 since 1933. Georgia Tech has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

Georgia Tech had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Georgia Tech had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 57.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 47.6 over expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Georgia Tech’s penalty yards were 25.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 47.6 over expected.
At home, Georgia Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 13.9% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.3% over expected.
Duke had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
On the road, Duke’s penalty yards were 52.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.
In a conference game, Duke’s carries were 13.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.