Charlotte @ 
North Texas
North Texas 50, Charlotte 10North Texas was favored by 27.5, and North Texas covered.
| a game | Charlotte1 game | North Texas1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −21.4 | +11.4 |
| Points allowed | +12.8 | −9.8 |
| Total offense, yards | −131 | +140 |
| Total defense, yards | +97 | −52 |
| Touchdowns | −3.0 | +1.7 |
| Passer rating | −10.3 | +46.9 |
| Third downs | −17.4% | −6.6% |
| Sacks | −0.2 | +4.1 |
| Penalty yards | −21.8 | −7.0 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
North Texas
- Passing yardsTayven Jackson349 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsTayven Jackson5 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsJahiem White105 rushing yards
Charlotte
Analysis
North Texas
- North Texas had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- North Texas had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- North Texas was 8.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.
Charlotte
- Charlotte had lost 14 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 15.
- Charlotte had covered 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Charlotte was 9.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 131st of 136, and 15.4 better away than at home over its last 25, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 2–2 since 2019. North Texas has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- North Texas had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- North Texas had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, North Texas’ points allowed were 25.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.3 under expected.
- In a conference game, North Texas’ points were 13.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.4 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, North Texas’ passing yards were 68.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 67.2 over expected.
- Charlotte was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Charlotte’s points allowed were 25.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.4 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Charlotte’s carries were 12.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.2 over expected.
- On the road, Charlotte’s points allowed were 7.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.4 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at North Texas | North Texas 50, Charlotte 10 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | at Charlotte | North Texas 54, Charlotte 20 |
| Oct 10, 2020 | at North Texas | Charlotte 49, North Texas 21 |
| Oct 26, 2019 | at Charlotte | Charlotte 39, North Texas 38 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.