Central Michigan @ Ohio

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Ohio 31, Central Michigan 14Ohio was favored by 2.5, and Ohio covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Ohio had won 15 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
Ohio was 1.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 80th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.

Central Michigan was 2.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 87th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.

Central Michigan leads the series 27–8–2 since 1972. Ohio has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

Ohio had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Ohio had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, Ohio’s passing yards were 157.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.2 under expected.
At home, Ohio’s penalty yards were 35.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.5 under expected.
In a conference game, Central Michigan’s rushing yards were 133.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 59.5 under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Central Michigan’s rushing yards were 95.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 59.5 under expected.
On the road, Central Michigan’s total yards were 120.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 52.7 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.