Arizona @ 
West Virginia
Arizona 52, West Virginia 31Arizona was favored by 3.5, and Arizona covered.
| a game | Arizona1 game | West Virginia1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +24.4 | +7.2 |
| Points allowed | −2.2 | +25.6 |
| Total offense, yards | +43 | +161 |
| Total defense, yards | +86 | +87 |
| Touchdowns | +2.5 | +1.2 |
| Passer rating | +73.3 | −28.6 |
| Third downs | −0.7% | +7.7% |
| Sacks | −1.1 | −1.8 |
| Penalty yards | +12.3 | +25.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | +0.9 |
Who put up numbers
West Virginia
- Passing yardsMichael Hawkins Jr.219 passing yards
- Rushing yardsCam Cook141 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsCam Cook2 rushing touchdowns
Arizona
Analysis
West Virginia
- West Virginia was 1.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.
Arizona
- Arizona had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Arizona had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Arizona was 0.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 72nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2024.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, West Virginia’s carries were 14.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 34.2 over expected.
- In a conference game, West Virginia’s rushing yards were 118.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 120.7 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, West Virginia’s rushing yards were 85.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 120.7 over expected.
- Arizona had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Arizona was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- Against an unranked opponent, Arizona’s third-down conversion rate were 18.0% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.0% under expected.
- In a conference game, Arizona’s rushing yards were 67.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 over expected.
- On the road, Arizona’s points allowed were 7.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at West Virginia | Arizona 52, West Virginia 31 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | at Arizona | West Virginia 31, Arizona 26 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.