Air Force @ 
Northern Illinois
Air Force 28, Northern Illinois 7Air Force was favored by 7, and Air Force covered.
| a game | Air Force1 game | Northern Illinois1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −6.1 | −21.2 |
| Points allowed | −14.2 | +3.6 |
| Total offense, yards | +24 | −117 |
| Total defense, yards | −101 | +79 |
| Touchdowns | 0.0 | −2.4 |
| Passer rating | −144.9 | −25.1 |
| Third downs | +32.5% | −5.9% |
| Sacks | −1.6 | −0.5 |
| Penalty yards | −31.9 | −17.1 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Northern Illinois
- Passing yardsTaron Dickens140 passing yards
- Rushing yardsTelly Johnson Jr.47 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsTelly Johnson Jr.1 rushing touchdown
Air Force
Analysis
Northern Illinois
- Northern Illinois had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Northern Illinois was 3.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 96th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.0 against the line this game.
Air Force
- Air Force was 0.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 72nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Air Force leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Northern Illinois had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Northern Illinois was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- At night, Northern Illinois’ penalty yards were 42.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.6 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Northern Illinois’ pass attempts were 10.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.8 under expected.
- Air Force had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, Air Force’s carries were 18.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.2 over expected.
- At night, Air Force’s carries were 18.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.2 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at Northern Illinois | Air Force 28, Northern Illinois 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.